This page is currently available in Japanese only. Parameter names, download links, and all tools work in English.
⚠️ 以破產為前提的EA — 1000次試驗MC破產率 100%
在2026-05-27的重新蒙地卡羅(10年資料 × 2年切片 × 1000次試驗)中，全部試驗的帳戶皆破產(Equity<初始5%)。不過淨利達成率（破產前能出金的試驗）為47.2%，95%ile有出金至$1,155的案例。僅投入「損失也無妨的金額」，並建議每日出金。此為嚴格反映CLAUDE.md規定「加碼攤平EA以破產為前提」的數值。
🛡 GOLD Hedge Recovery Nanpin
Cut loss → opposite-direction lot growth → net-loss recovery | Expected survival 4-8 months
破產率
100%
淨利達成率
47.2%
平均出金
$290
ABOUT
策略概要
📋Operating Rules (Mandatory)
- Only deposit money you can afford to lose (≤5% of total capital)
- Always withdraw on the 06:00 daily alert (otherwise it vanishes)
- Check Recovery Depth daily — shown in GUI. ≥3 = caution; ≥5 = consider manual PANIC CLOSE
- Auto-stops when MaxRecoveryDepth=6 is exceeded — judge remaining positions manually
- If cumulative loss (CumLoss) exceeds 30% of initial balance, exit manually — continuing recovery risks more loss
- Never say 'one more and I'll recover' — statistically, deeper depth = higher next-failure probability
📐 Strategy Logic — different from Kamikaze/Tetsubeki: 'Recovery type'
Whereas Kamikaze/Tetsubeki 'average down to lower break-even, then take profit on a small bounce', Hedge Recovery uses 'when adverse, cut the loss → recover in the opposite direction' — a unique logic.
Phase 1: Initial entry
Example: BUY 0.01 lot @ $2000
Phase 2: Price moves against → cut loss
$2000 → $1985 (1500pt adverse) → close BUY at $15 loss (L=$15)
Phase 3: Opposite-direction recovery
Simultaneously enter SELL 0.02 lot @ $1985 (lot sized to recover L=$15 over a 750pt move)
Phase 4a: Success
SELL moves 750pt in favor → full reset → Depth = 0
Phase 4b: Failure (further adverse)
SELL also moves adverse → cut loss → cumulative L₂ → bigger lot in the opposite direction... (Depth grows)
Depth 0 → 0.01 lot
Depth 1 → 0.02 lot (recover L=$15)
Depth 2 → 0.06 lot (recover L=$45)
Depth 3 → 0.18 lot (recover L=$135)
Depth 4 → 0.54 lot ← caution level
Depth 5 → 1.62 lot ← danger
Depth 6 → auto-stop
Unlike martingale × nanpin, only one position is held at a time. Margin pressure is gentler than Kamikaze/Tetsubeki, but at deeper Depth single-trade lot becomes enormous.
BACKTEST
回測結果
📊馬丁加倉評估表 — GOLD_NANPIN_HEDGE_RECOVERY
生存率
0%
期間內不破產的機率
破產率
100%
帳戶爆倉機率
淨收益達成率
47.2%
運行後淨正收益機率
淨損益中位數
-$958
累計出金 - 本金
| 回測期間 | GOLD H1 10年資料 × 隨機2年切片 × 1000次 |
| 模擬次數 | 1000 次（隨機起點1年運行） |
| 生存期中位數 | 0 天 |
| 生存期 25%分位（早期爆倉組） | 0 天 |
| 累計出金中位數 | $0 |
| 累計出金平均值 | $290 |
| 累計出金 25%-75%區間 | $0 〜 $418 |
| 淨損益平均值 | -$380 |
馬丁/網格類EA銷售廣告中常見的"PF 7"、"勝率92%"等炫目數值，是透過不將浮虧部位反映在餘額曲線中的展示方法製造的。本EA若用同樣方法展示，也會呈現如下"最強EA"風格的炫目數值。
炫目PF
0.00
炫目勝率
97.7%
炫目DD
95%
交易數
44
📌 重要
此數值不代表實際收益。只是浮虧部位未計入餘額，實際帳戶時常大幅虧損。在銷售廣告中看到類似數值時，請立即閱讀"識破炫目BT EA的5個檢查點"。
真正的評估軸是上方的"破產率"和"淨收益達成率" 。本EA以含浮虧的Equity為基準，Equity < 本金50%視為破產，並加入每日出金規則，估算現實期望值。
🎲 關於蒙地卡羅模擬
- 從MT5 XMTrading實際GOLD價格數據（5年）隨機選擇起點
- 每次模擬假設運行1年
- 每日定時按餘額 − 本金的超額部分出金的規則
- Equity低於本金50%視為破產
- 淨損益 = 累計出金 + 最終餘額 − 投入本金
- 本數值是策略期望值的參考，不保證個別運行的損益
📝 補充
- ⚠️ 2026-05-27 重新驗證修正了舊樂觀值(survival 100%/withdrawn$1170)
- 1000次試驗全部帳戶破產(Equity<初始5%)。嚴格反映CLAUDE.md規定的「加碼攤平=以破產為前提」
- 淨利達成率 47.2% = 破產前能出金的試驗約半數，95%ile有回收至$1,155的案例
- 假設投入本金$670，餘額>$1,005時每週出金超額部分，Equity<5%視為破產
- 勝率97.7%易造成誤解故列為副指標 — 以交易單位看雖獲勝但屬「在加碼攤平階段破產」的典型模式
- 建議運用: 僅投入損失也無妨的金額、建議每日出金、以投資組合<5%的資金
All Parameters
All 37 inputs shown in MT5 (EA core + shared modules). Strategy-core values are pre-optimized — keep them at defaults; tune only the operational ones as needed.
| Parameter | Default | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Entry Direction | ||
AllowBuy | true | Allow buy entries. |
AllowSell | true | Allow sell entries (often OFF for gold's uptrend bias). |
| ⚠ DANGER ZONE | ||
IAcceptBankruptcyRisk | false | Consent required (skipped during backtest/optimization) |
| Initial Entry | ||
EntryMode | ENT_RSI | v1.1 live-opt: always-on entry beats ADX mean-reversion on PF |
RSI_Period | 14 | |
RSI_Buy | 30.0 | |
RSI_Sell | 70.0 | |
BB_Period | 20 | |
BB_Deviation | 2.0 | |
EMA_Fast | 20 | |
EMA_Slow | 50 | |
InitialLot | 0.01 | Initial lot (first nanpin entry size). |
| Hedge Recovery Logic | ||
HedgeDistancePoints | 1500 | Adverse points to trigger stop + recovery |
RecoveryTPDistancePoints | 750 | Recovery position TP distance |
RecoveryLotSafetyMargin | 1.1 | Required lot × safety factor (1.1 = 10% buffer) |
MaxRecoveryDepth | 6 | Max consecutive recovery rounds |
ResetOnRecoverySuccess | true | Reset to initial state on successful recovery |
| Emergency Brakes | ||
UseMarginEmergencyClose | true | |
EmergencyMarginLevel | 200.0 | |
UseMaxDepthEmergency | true | At MaxDepth, close on the next failure |
| Daily Withdrawal | ||
UseDailyWithdrawAlert | true | |
DailyCheckHour | 6 | |
TargetBalance | 0 | |
OnlyAlertWhenFlat | true | |
| Safety Filters | ||
MaxSpreadPoints | 500 | Max spread (points). |
| Time Filter | ||
UseTimeFilter | false | BTC = 24h by default |
TradeStartHour | 0 | Trade window start hour (UTC). |
TradeEndHour | 24 | Trade window end hour (UTC). |
| Chart GUI | ||
UseChartGUI | true | |
GUI_X | 10 | |
GUI_Y | 30 | |
| Notifications | ||
UsePushOnRecovery | true | |
UsePushOnSuccess | true | |
| License | ||
LicenseServer | https://fxea365.com | |
SkipLicense | false | Skip license check during backtest |
| General | ||
MagicNumber | 20260808 | Unique ID so the EA never interferes with others (fixed per EA). |
EAComment | HEDGE_RECOV | |
Defaults and descriptions follow the EA source. Lot inputs show the effective value after the run-mode multiplier (Defensive x0.5 / Standard x1.0 / Aggressive x2.0). See the bundled MANUAL.html for details.
📈MT5 Strategy Tester 報告 — GOLD Nanpin Hedge Recovery EA
📋 關於此報告
- MT5 策略測試器(XMTrading-MT5 伺服器)生成的官方報告
- 5-10 年實際價格資料 + 全 tick(99.9% 精度)模型
- 餘額曲線(藍)/ 淨值曲線(綠)可視化浮動損失
- 過去結果不保證未來利潤
MONEY
資金與手數設定
💴 Capital & lot settings — HEDGE RECOVERY
⚠ 馬丁加倉EA的特別警告
馬丁加倉EA會在浮虧時加倉，因此帳戶規模越大，加倉承受能力越強。請只存入您可承受損失的資金，並每日提取利潤。
Recommended minimum capital
3万円〜
≈ $200
Recommended lot settings
InitialLot = 0.01
Withdraw profits daily instead of leaving them in the account.
InitialLot=0.01，因屬對沖型故保證金壓力較緩。
SETTINGS
參數
A custom 🔄 RESET DEPTH button lets you manually reset Recovery Depth to zero. When Depth reaches 4+, judge the market and choose 'continue recovery vs. lock loss and start fresh.'
🛡 HEDGE RECOVERY - HIGH RISK
[ HEDGE_RECOV ]
Bal: 9523.45 (init 10000.00)
Pos: BUY 0.06lot @ 1992.45
PL: -$23.45
Depth: 3 / 6
CumLoss: $135.00
TP need: $158.20
| 參數 | 預設值 | 說明 |
|---|---|---|
| IAcceptBankruptcyRisk | false | true required (safety guard) |
| EntryMode | ENT_RSI | How the first position is triggered: oversold/overbought detection, price-band edge, or moving-average cross |
| InitialLot | 0.01 | Initial lot |
| HedgeDistancePoints | 1500 | Price distance the market must move against you before the loss is cut and recovery begins |
| RecoveryTPDistancePoints | 750 | Profit-target distance for the recovery position; set short so the loss is recovered quickly |
| RecoveryLotSafetyMargin | 1.1 | Adds a 10% cushion to the lot needed for recovery (1.1 = 10% extra) |
| MaxRecoveryDepth | 6 | How many consecutive recovery failures are allowed; the EA stops after 6 (a blow-up safeguard) |
| ResetOnRecoverySuccess | true | When a recovery succeeds, reset the losing-streak count to zero and return to the starting state |
| UseMarginEmergencyClose | true | Safety switch: force-close all positions when the margin level drops below the limit |
| EmergencyMarginLevel | 200.0 | Margin level (%) that triggers the emergency close — all positions are shut below this |
| UseMaxDepthEmergency | true | Safety switch: stop the whole EA once the losing streak reaches its limit |
| UseDailyWithdrawAlert | true | Daily withdrawal alert at fixed time |
| MagicNumber | 20260808 | EA identifier |
Q & A
常見問題
Q.有指定的券商嗎？▾
Q.可以在哪些貨幣對上運行？▾
Q.需要多少資金？▾
Q.有停損(SL)嗎？▾
Q.版本升級如何反映？▾
Q.可以在模擬帳戶測試嗎？▾
Q.微型帳戶可以使用嗎？▾
DOWNLOAD
取得方式
This EA uses a unique logic (hedge recovery). Before downloading, make sure you understand the 'Strategy Logic' section above.
註冊會員下載 →⚠️ Disclaimer
- This EA is not investment advice. Use entirely at your own risk.
- Hedge recovery logic will also mathematically blow up someday (consecutive failure probability × lot growth).
- If you don't follow daily withdrawals, profits will not be secured.
- If uneasy, choose a conservative track EA.