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bitcoin-comet

🚀 CRYPTO TREND EA

BITCOIN COMET EA

BTCUSD專用・雙向趨勢跟隨
MT5實機BT 8.0年 (2018-2025 / M1每Tick) 實證

累計

+1,370%

8.0年

PF

2.77

最大DD

7.1%

交易

137

夏普1.81

✅ 並非Python BT而是「MT5實機回測」值

本EA的數值為 MT5 Strategy Tester 的實機實測值 (BTCUSDm H4 / Model=每Tick / 初始$10,000 / 2018.01–2025.12)。開發時的 Python 模擬值 (+146%) 含有 Donchian突破判定的bug (將訊號K棒與自身比較,在實機中變成0筆交易的缺陷) ,已修正該bug後在實機重新驗證並刊載確定的數值。

⚡ 最低入金額: 10萬日圓起(標準/微型帳戶皆可)

可從10萬日圓開始運用。想更安全・以小額操作者建議使用 微型(美分)帳戶 (0.01手的實際曝險約為1/100,同樣10萬日圓也大幅低風險)。因BTC高波動,特別建議以微型帳戶運用更安全。

BTCUSDH4雙向MT5實機8.0年Donchian+ATRPF 2.77

🚀 BITCOIN COMET EA

BTCUSD專用的雙向趨勢跟隨。以ATR×0.5的邊際確認Donchian通道(20根)的突破,僅順著SMA200的斜率方向順勢。以ATR×4的追蹤停利延伸利潤。BTC無論上漲或下跌行情都容易形成持續趨勢,以雙向捕捉。每筆交易1風險(停損明確)・lot由tickValue計算。

支援貨幣

BTCUSD

時間軸

H4

建議經紀商

Exness

實機BT期間

8.0年

🔗 從MEGAMAX頁面取得

STRATEGY

📊 策略邏輯

1. Donchian突破

已確定K棒突破近20根(H4)的高/低點 (買: 突破高點 / 賣: 跌破低點)

2. 突破確認邊際

突破幅度 ATR×0.5 以上 = 排除假突破的影線突破

3. 趨勢強度濾網

僅順著SMA200的斜率方向順勢 (向上=僅買/向下=僅賣) → 抑制區間中招

4. ATR追蹤停利

以ATR×4的追蹤停損延伸浮盈。無固定TP=吃完大行情

5. 倉位管理

Risk = 餘額 × RiskPercent% / lot = Risk / SL距離。預設 risk2% (建議)

REAL MT5 BACKTEST

📈 MT5實機BT實測 (BTCUSDm H4 / 每Tick / $10,000)

指標實測值 (risk2 預設)評價
驗證期間2018.01 – 2025.12 (8.0)接近BTC全史・通過所有型態
淨利 / 累計+$136,958 (+1,370%)$10,000 → $146,958
獲利因子2.77通過主力標準 (PF≥1.5)
餘額最大DD7.09%通過主力標準 (DD≤15%)
交易數 / 勝率137 / 40.2%趨勢型為低勝率・大賺小賠
夏普比率1.81良好

OOS / ROBUSTNESS

⚙️ OOS穩健性・風險設定 (實機實測)

區分PF餘額DD累計備註
預設 (risk2 / ATRMult4)2.777.1%+1,370%建議・最佳平衡
OOS前半 2018-20212.936.2%+255%非依賴期間
OOS後半 2022-20252.767.0%+306%兩半期皆PF≥1.78
攻擊版 (加碼+risk3)1.5423.3%+2,527%另一檔案 BTC_TREND_AGGRESSIVE / 進階者

2026-06-05 PDCA採用 ATRMult 5→4 (前後半OOS皆PF1.78-2.02穩健=非過度最佳化)。攻擊版因加碼使DD增大 (risk10時DD56%),請僅以閒置資金運用。

⚠️ 風險警告

  • 報酬 依賴2018-2025的BTC大行情(約40倍)。不保證未來重現
  • BTC為單日波動5-10%的高波動資產。勝率36% = 累積多次小停損換取大利潤的型態
  • 加密貨幣有監管風險 (各國禁止交易等)
  • 攻擊版(高Risk)的DD為23-56%。嚴格做好資金管理・以1帳戶1策略運用

How the strategy works (entry, stop, target)

On BTCUSD H4, it follows confirmed Donchian-channel breakouts and rides medium-term trends with an ATR trailing stop — a pure trend-following system.

Entry
Breakout of the 20-bar Donchian channel with an ATR×0.5 confirmation buffer, only in the direction of the SMA200 slope (both long and short).
Stop / trail
An ATR×4 trailing stop also serves as the initial stop, ratcheting up as the trade moves in profit.
Take profit
No fixed target — holds while the trend persists and lets the trailing stop maximise the run.
Risk
Balance × 2%, max 5 lots. Adjustable via Run-Mode.
Timeframe
H4 best captures BTC's medium-term trends — short enough to act, long enough to avoid noise.

Run Mode (Defensive / Standard / Aggressive)

Every EA exposes a "RunMode" dropdown that switches aggressiveness across three levels. It only multiplies the lot (risk) — entry/exit logic, symbol and timeframe never change.

Defensive

×0.5

Half of standard risk. Both max drawdown and expected return are roughly halved. For capital preservation or first-time automated trading.

Approx. return: +20%/yrApprox. max DD: 3.5%

Standard (recommended)

×1.0

The backtest figures shown on this page use this setting. Start here.

Approx. return: +39.9%/yrApprox. max DD: 7.09%

Aggressive

×2.0

Double the standard risk. Return and max drawdown roughly double, raising the risk of ruin. Use only with money you can afford to lose.

Approx. return: +93%/yrApprox. max DD: 49.2%

Approximations relative to Standard (Defensive ≈ 0.5x / Aggressive ≈ 2x). Drawdown does not scale linearly; in sharp markets Aggressive can exceed this estimate. Lots auto-adjust to balance when compounding is on.

All Parameters

All 53 inputs shown in MT5 (EA core + shared modules). Strategy-core values are pre-optimized — keep them at defaults; tune only the operational ones as needed.

ParameterDefaultDescription
General
VersionCheck_EnabletrueEnable automatic update notifications.
EA_Slugbitcoin-cometFXEA365 site EA identifier (do not change).
RunModeMODE_STANDARDRun mode (Defensive x0.5 / Standard x1.0 / Aggressive x2.0). Switches the lot multiplier.
Economic Event Filter
EconFilter_EnabletrueAvoid trading around high-impact economic events.
EconFilter_AvoidNFPtrueAvoid NFP (1st Friday each month).
EconFilter_AvoidFOMCtrueAvoid FOMC (US Federal Open Market Committee).
EconFilter_AvoidCPItrueAvoid CPI (US consumer price index).
EconFilter_AvoidWeekendtrueAvoid weekend risk (late Fri / early Mon).
EconFilter_AvoidHoursBefore2Avoid N hours before the release.
EconFilter_AvoidHoursAfter1Avoid N hours after the release.
EconFilter_ServerGMTOffset3Server-time GMT offset (summer=3 / winter=2).
EconFilter_VerbosefalseVerbose filter logging.
EconFilter_UseCalendartrueAuto-fetch from MT5 economic calendar (falls back to NFP/CPI rules where unavailable).
EconFilter_MinImportance2Min calendar importance (1=low+ / 2=medium+ / 3=high only).
EconFilter_CurrenciesUSDCalendar target currencies (CSV, e.g. USD,EUR,JPY).
EconFilter_StopImportance3Fully stop new entries at this importance or above.
EconFilter_StopBeforeMin120Stop: N minutes before release.
EconFilter_StopAfterMin60Stop: N minutes after release.
EconFilter_ReduceLotFactor0.5Lot factor on medium impact (reduce instead of stop).
EconFilter_ReduceBeforeMin30Reduce lot: N minutes before.
EconFilter_ReduceAfterMin15Reduce lot: N minutes after.
Safety Guard
Guard_EnabletrueEnable the safety guard (forward only).
Guard_EmergencyMargin120.0Close all if margin level falls below this % (0=off).
Guard_DailyLossPct8.0Stop new entries for the day at this daily loss % (0=off).
Guard_DailyLossClosefalseAlso close open positions when the daily loss is hit.
Guard_MaxConsecLoss0Stop new entries for the day after N consecutive losses (0=off).
Guard_FridayClosefalseClose everything late Friday.
Guard_FridayCloseHour20Friday close-all hour (server time).
News Protect
Guard_NewsProtectMode00=off / 1=SL to break-even / 2=half close / 3=close all.
Guard_NewsProtectMin15Run protection N minutes before high-impact events.
Dashboard / Notify
Notify_PushtrueMT5 mobile push notifications (requires MetaQuotes ID).
Notify_EmailfalseEmail notifications (requires MT5 email setup).
Notify_WebhookURLGeneric webhook URL (Discord/Slack, etc.; empty=off).
Notify_MarginAlert150.0Alert when margin level falls below this %.
Notify_DailySummarytrueSend a daily summary at a set time.
Notify_SummaryHour6Daily summary send hour (server time, 0-23).
Dash_TradeCSVtrueRecord all fills to CSV (MQL5/Files).
Dash_PauseButtontrueShow a pause button on the chart.
Notify_NewsPrewarnMin60Pre-warn N minutes before entries are halted (0=off).
Entry (Donchian break + confirmation)
EntryChannel20v1.10 PDCA: 20→15 raised PF 1.65→1.87 / +74→+101%, both OOS halves improved; ETH H4 favors a shorter channel
ATRPeriod14ATR期間(H4)
ATRMult4.0Trailing width (ATR multiple). 6=optimal for ETH (robust PF 1.46-3.73 across both OOS halves)
BreakMargin0.5Break confirmation margin (ATR multiple)
Trend-strength filter
UseTrendFiltertrueTrade only with the SMA-slope direction
TrendSMA200Uptrend SMA (buy only above it)
TrendSlopeBars14Bars used to measure SMA slope
Risk Management
RiskPercent2.0Risk per trade as a % of account balance.Def 1Std 2Agg 4
FixedBaseBalance00 = compounding (lot follows balance). >0 = use this fixed base (no compounding / daily-withdrawal mode).
MaxLot5.0Hard cap on total lots (prevents runaway / oversized positions).
TradeLongtrue
TradeShorttrue
Behavior
MagicNumber202622Unique ID so the EA never interferes with others (fixed per EA).
Slippage50Allowed slippage (points).
DetailedLogtrueLogs wait/skip reasons, entries and exits to the Journal (forward only).

Defaults and descriptions follow the EA source. Lot inputs show the effective value after the run-mode multiplier (Defensive x0.5 / Standard x1.0 / Aggressive x2.0). See the bundled MANUAL.html for details.

📈MT5 Strategy Tester 報告BITCOIN COMET EA

🏆 MT5 官方 Strategy Tester 實測值 · BTCUSD / H4在新分頁開啟原文
BITCOIN COMET EA Strategy Tester Report

📋 關於此報告

  • MT5 策略測試器(XMTrading-MT5 伺服器)生成的官方報告
  • 5-10 年實際價格資料 + 全 tick(99.9% 精度)模型
  • 餘額曲線(藍)/ 淨值曲線(綠)可視化浮動損失
  • 過去結果不保證未來利潤

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Buy on the official MetaQuotes Market (MQL5 Market). Payment, licensing and automatic updates are all handled inside the MT5 app.

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